Tuesday, November 17, 2020

Sequestered in Seattle, Day 251

Tuesday morning, I went for a long walk before work. No one accompanied me, but that was OK. I had seen a patch of blue sky earlier, but it was gone by the time I stepped out the door, and a few drops of rain were falling. It didn't continue, though, and I had a pleasant walk down to Kinnear Park and back.


Along the way, there were a few other people walking dogs and two guys digging a trench. I didn't see many birds. There is some fall foliage to look at. The smoke trees are notably vibrant. Cotoneaster shrubs stand out this time of year with their evergreen leaves and late berries.

I was recruited a couple times to play Mario with Eric, mostly to keep him from bothering others, but otherwise had a productive work day. Around 5:30 I migrated upstairs and got pulled into watching Mark Rober videos with Lydia. He was teaching a lesson about momentum and shooting a nail along a sort of rail gun, powered by a CO2 cartridge, through some wine glasses. They were obliterated, in the end.

That reminds me. Inspired by one of last night's chapters, at lunch we were complimenting each other on things that don't exist. Rachel said something about heavy diamonds, which made me think of heavy water. I had to consult Wikipedia to remember why it was interesting.

After dinner, I read for a while, first about crows, and then about Charging Elk, who is stranded in Marseille. Nicole was finishing a TV show she's been watching, and the kids were occupied. Then we did family reading time, a few minutes late.

I was distracted a bit by the hijinks in Michigan today, where only half the committee voted to verify the Wayne County election results. Thankfully, they seem to have seen the error of their ways, or at least recoiled in horror at public outcry. They later voted unanimously to certify, before the deadline.

I read tonight that today is the anniversary of the first case of COVID-19 in China. I don't think I want to commemorate it. Instead, I want to check on my day 300 predictions, at the halfway point. I predicted at least 500 cases per day in Washington still. That seems likely to be true. I'll have to check if it's ever fallen below that since day 200. I predicted vaccines not widely available. I didn't define widely. Without rechecking any numbers, I'll say fewer than one million Americans vaccinated. Last two predictions were continued school and work from home. Those seem pretty well in the bag. These predictions were definitely less risky. Perhaps I had risk fatigue by then.

2 comments:

Roy said...

The 7-day Washington daily new case average dropped below 500 very briefly on September 30, but has been increasing since then, crossing 2000 in the last couple days.

Meredith Tromble said...

The one-year anniversary -- no celebration indeed, but grateful you have been keeping track. Sometimes the year seems like a big mush and a little definition is good.